Answers To Questions – And A Bit More

Thanks for the questions, so let me give some answers.

First, this site is under construction, with more than 1,000 posts close to deletion and almost as many ready to be posted. The site is intended to provide up to the minute data on guns and crime for those fighting the Statists. Outdated information is being deleted, and fresh data added,. Which brings up the next question:

What about RSS? Yes, when the site is fully updated.

Social media? That too, although perfectly factual information on the effects of gun control keep getting knocked off Facebook.

For reports not directly concerned with gun control, and the rushes of reports for Polite Society are at Extranos Alley.

Stranger

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How Much Muzzle Energy For Self Defense?

One of the most common searches at Extranos Alley is “how much energy for self defense?”

It is hard to say “you need exactly 324 foot pounds of muzzle energy because…” to such a question.

More people are killed with the ubiquitous .22 than any other caliber firearms, simply because they are inexpensive and common. The caliber is not well adapted to self defense, because it rarely kills instantly and often gives the person shot three to five minutes to do whatever he intends to do, but the .22 will kill. In fact, enough .22’s delivered in a short period of time can, and has, killed grizzly bears.

On the other hand, it is not uncommon to run afoul of someone sky high on a devils mixture of drugs and alcohol, when even the 500 foot pounds from a magnum caliber handgun is barely enough.

So we come back to a “circumstances alter cases” situation, where .22 in the hands of a careful shot may drop an assailant in his tracks, while a .45 bullet that left the muzzle with 500 foo pounds of energy may take a while to stop a lung shot perp.

Personally, being neither recoil or report shy, I prefer a .40 or larger caliber with 400 or more foot pounds of muzzle energy. But that’s my personal preference.

My advice is the largest caliber that you are comfortable with, in a gun that feels comfortable to you.

If you are buying a gun and a .44 magnum beats you up drop back to a .45, a .40, a .357, or even to a 9mm. They will all get the job done – but the less powerful the gun the more important the operators proficiency becomes.

If you have a .22, use it until you can trade up for something more powerful.

It’s your money, your life, and your choice. So you should make the decision.

Good health, Sir or Madame, as the case may be.

Stranger

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Should Some Americans Be Denied Gun Rights?

The gun control advocates have made it clear. They believe anyone with as much as an overtime parking ticket should e denied the right to possess or carry a gun. They seem to believe that a parking ticket is the equivalent of murder when it comes to access to a firearm.

However, most of the crimes “That may be punished by one year or more in prison” that disqualify an American from owning a gun are non-violent crimes, and for the most part do not indicate there is any risk that the individual will graduate to violent crimes.

The cohort of people who will, at some time during their lifetime, commit a violent crime is very much smaller than the ten million who have lost their gun rights. While the number is not known with exactitude the most common number I hear is one in twenty, or five percent – 500,000 – of ten million who have lost their gun rights..

So we have a pool of 500,000 individuals who may commit another violent crime during their lifetimes – and 322 million of us who are very unlikely to collect anything more serious than a traffic ticket.

Limiting anyone’s God given right of self defense is an extremely serious matter. To take a person’s rights to defend themselves because they have committed a non-violent crime is clearly an injustice.

Crime and homicide numbers dating back 25 years before there were regularly enforced gun control in the United States show just how little risk there was in letting anyone with the money buy, possess, and carry a gun:

1880-2014UShomicide

Clearly, the homicide rate when anyone with money could buy and carry a gun was far lower than today’s rate.

The presence of armed members of the “victim class” severely inhibits violent crime. so limiting firearms access is far less successful than one might think, even with numbers at hand.

So the question should be whether or not to relax gun laws. Given the very much lower homicide and violent crime rates when such laws are relaxed or repealed, the answer to that becomes obvious.

More guns mean less crime, and we need less crime.

Stranger

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Was Concealed Carry Or More Guns Responsible For The Decline In Crime?

Someone came by searching for “more guns, more ccw, make crime rate go down.”

I assume the question was for something like “Were more guns or more concealed carry responsible for the decline in crime after 1991?”

If so, there was certainly a major decline in the number of crimes reported to the police after 1993. You can see that decline in the graphic at the link, or in the violent crime graphic, below:

19502014USVIOLENTCRIMEGun sales from 1969 to approximately 2000 were severely depressed due to several factors. One was the incessant and well funded gun control/ban drives, many of which were funded to the tune of $70 million 2016 dollars a year for years on end. Another reason was the “three day waiting period,” which was supposed to keep criminals from getting guns. As you can see from the chart below, taken from ATF Firearms in Commerce data:

gunsales Except for a brief bump resulting from Hillary Clinton’s Assault Weapons Ban, gun sales stayed just below five million guns produced, and prsumably sold per year while violent crime rates were dropping like a rock.

And that leaves Concealed Carry. The graphic below shows the rate of increase in actual carry, year on year for the period of interest:

CONCEALEDCRRYRATE As you can see, when concealed carry was a novelty, and increasing at a relatively fast rate, crime and murder rates plummeted. when the year on year increase fell off, due to anti-gun activity impeding passage of new Concealed Carry laws, the rate of decline of crime fell off.

Obviously, the rate at which citizens carry; and therefore a criminals risk of getting shot while engaged in his or her trade increased, the lower the violent crime rates became.

In one respect, we have enough guns to provide a carry weapon to every American. In another respect, we do not have nearlyi enough Americans carrrying to fully inhibit criminal activity.

While criminals are much like the poor, we shall always have both the poor and the criminal with us, we should strive to make the risk of crime as high as possible, so so our people will be as crime free as possible.

Stranger

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On Gun Safety – And Gun Control Lies

New York’s former mayor, Michael Bloomberg, backed with fifty million dollars of his own money and a reported two hundred million from from his billionaire friends, has hired a staff of propagandists to sell his gun ban program as “gun safety.”

In the abstract, Bloomberg’s push to use “gun safety” as an excuse to ban guns is hilarious. The National Safety Council’s annual report for 1968 estimated the number of firearms fatalities at 6,800, in a population of 199,400,000 for a rate of 3.4 fatal firearms accidents per 100,000 Americans.

For 2014 the efforts of the NRA CDC estimates – well, here is the chart from the CDC’s WISQARS website:

2014gunaccs

That is correct. 583 accidental gun deaths in 2014, a rate of only 0.183 accidental gun deaths per 100,000 population. The shooting community and our hobby groups did that, on our own time, and with our own money. While all Bloomberg, the New York Times, and the rest of that lot did nothing but get in the way.

That is a 94 percent reduction in the fatal firearms accident rate. And the shooting community did it all, while the New York Times claims we did nothing but impede their killer program.

And then there is the small matter of more than 800,000 excess murders since the New York Times decided to back gun control in 1963. Excess deaths that resulted from gun controls that Pravda West supported in every way possible. From the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report for the years between 1950 and 2014, here are the homicide rates:

2014homrate

Obviously, we have only lately gotten the homicide rate back to where it was in the early 1960’s. It has taken tens of thousands of hours of hard work relaxing gun laws to get our nation’s homicide and murder rates back to where they were, and Pravda West would wipe those gains out in a heartbeat if they could; regardless of the cost in lives.

Remember, The United States population grew by 129 million between 1960 and 2014, making the actual effects of the Gun Control Act of 1968 and the other gun control laws the New York Times supported appear less than they actually were. But 800,000 excess homicide victims since 1963 should weigh as heavily as a tombstone on Pravda West’s owners, editors, and supposed reporters.

People whose general attitude seems to be “Don’t bore me with facts, our policies are not set here.” An attitude that is commendable in slaves, whose masters word is law, but unacceptable for reportage among a free people.

Since the New York Times hates guns and loves loves totalitarinism so much, they should emigrate to a country more to their liking.

Gun free venezuela would fit their wants.

Stranger

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The State Of Policing The U.K.

The Daily Mail has a telling report on the sad state of the underfunded and desperately shorthanded British police.

Briefly quoting the Daily Mail report linked above:

A businessman who dialled 999 as masked raiders ransacked his shop was astonished when a lone police community support officer on a bicycle turned up ten minutes later.

The gang, believed to be armed, were still at the children’s clothing boutique when Sam Islam rang.

The U.K’s financial problems only exacerbate the problem. At best, one Officer on duty for every 700 people will only cut the crime rates by a fifth, while England and Wales has six times the U.S. rate.

The U.K.’s real problem is their insistence that self defense with a gun or a knife is a cause of crime. The result of that fallacy can be seen in the chart below, which plots the increase in the U.K.’s violent crime rates after the almost complete gun ban following the Dunblane School Massacre:

UK2VICRIME

Not enough officers and not enough cells make matters that much worse. But the real problem is that violent British criminals have no fear of the public and even less far of the police.

Stranger

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Why Do Americans Buy Multiple Guns?

The short answer to that is “because they want them, tut that is not generally the case.

For one thing, guns make good investments, with far greater price stability than commodities such as gold. A Colt Government model purchased for $87.00 fifty years ago, and kept in its original box, is worth close to $800 today. And you can do much better than that if you are careful about which make and model you choose to invest in.

Someone stopped by searching for “why buy more than one gun a month.”

I presume the search was related to Kali’s “One gun a month” law the anti-gun, and therefore pro-crime, legislature is working on.

While there are many reasons, including purchase of a collection the principal reason is for gifts. Guns have always been highly desirable gifts, and purchasing a gun for wife, a gun for son, a gun for daughter and a gun for self is quite common.

And on Christmas morn, Pop can smile broadly and say “Now we won’t have to share a gun when we go to the range.”

And of curse, collectors frequently buy matched pairs, consecutive serial numbers, “left and rights” or some part of a collection that particularly interests them.

But investment comprises only a small part of the market for guns. Collector purchases are much more common.

Speaking personally, my last “multiple purchase” was a consecutive serial numbered pair of pre-1968 PPK’s, NIB, and evidently unfired. As they remain after more than 40 years.

Far more multiple purchases are made for gifts. A friend’s triplet daughters received identical Browning handguns on their 15th birthday. As did his wife a few days later.

So there are a few of the reason’s people make multiple gun purchases.

And, despite much propaganda, very few with crime on their minds buy a gun from a dealer, leaving a paper trail from the gun maker to their front door.

Study after study finds the same thing. Criminals obtain guns from “friends and relatives” who are also working criminals. They are cheap, they can be disposed of without a qualm, and the paper trail ends with the legitimate purchaser.

So those are just two of many reasons to buy more than one gun at a time. But lawful purchasers, who pay retail prices, are not the problem.

Considering “one crime per criminal victimization, legitimate gun purchasers for fr less than six percent of firearm facilitated criminal victimizations.

Stranger

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Guns Are Civilization: 1010 Years Of Murder

vasegun How long people have had guns is in doubt. When I was a sprout, the sotry went that a monk, using a Chinese fireworks formula, invented the first gun around 1,000 AD. Lately, the most common estimate has been the late 13th Century, probably about 1360. The who and what is irrelevant, except to point out that the first “gonnes” were little more than metal vases. In fact, the first name for a gun was “vase.”

At first, even these extremely primitive weapons were expensive, and attached to a stick that went under the arm, more feared for the noise than the danger of being shot. Of course, human ingenuity being what it is, that situation did not last long. The price of a gun began to come down almost immediately, wooden stocks against the shoulder instead of sticks under the arm, much better sights, and suddenly the gun became an effective meat getter as well as somewhat effective battlefield weapon.

snaphaunce By 1450 guns were affordable by wealthy merchants, and by 1500 even a wealthy peasant could afford a gun.

By 1500 even a wealthy peasant could afford guns, and hunting became popular with those in the middle classes of Renaissance society. But two very interesting things happened. Hunters quickly found over-hunting depleted game – so laws encouraging “cropping” wild game numbers to maintain those populations at the maximum safe carrying capacity of the range became common.

The second was the sharp decline in the murder and violent crime rates as guns became more accessible to the common folk. The chart below shows the maximum and minimum European murder rates as guns became generally affordable:

Y1KEUMURDERRATE

England’s murder rate, which generally ran close to 50 murders per 100,000 population when John Plantagenet became King John “Lackland,” in 1166, before guns, ascended the throne, sank to just 0.7, 7/10ths of a murder per 100,000 population, when Queen Victoria took the throne in 1837.

When Victoria’s reign began, on Englishman if two was armed. By the end of her reign, one Englishman in four carried – and the police sometimes borrowed guns from passersby.

On the continent, the situation was much the same. Before guns, knife and club wielding criminals, often members of the army, had their own way with the people.

Yet those States with relaxed gun laws, France for one, had murder and violent crime rates hardly higher than England. Yet States like the Austro-Hungarian Empire, with relatively restrictive gun laws, had very much higher murder and violent crime rates.

In a very real sense, the gun, which “renders the weakest woman the equal of the strongest man” is civilization. where guns are common, a citizen can sleep soundly, confident that he or she will not be molested. Where guns are banned, even the strongest locks are insufficient to insure personal safety.

Since a civilized society is in fact a safe society, a heavily armed society is a civilized society.

Stranger

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How Many Americans Have A License To Carry?

With numbers current to January 16, 2016; there were approximately 12,800,000 valid Concealed W Carry Weapons (CCW) permits, sometimes called Licenses to Carry or LTC’s.

It should be kept in mind that some jurisdictions refuse to provide the number of licenses issued or the number of licenses still valid. Given that, the 12,800,000 total may be as much as 1,700,000 short of the actual total.

It should also be kept in mind that many States allow open carry without a permit, and a number of States, including Arizona, Alaska, Vermont, and Wyoming allow concealed carry without a permit for in state carry.

All in all, well over twenty million adult Americans could legally carry, either openly or concealed at this time.

Stranger

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“How Are Guns Sold?” Gun Sales And Purchases

Someone left a contact comment asking for information on how guns are sold. That will necessarily involve a few words about why guns are purchased, as well.

So, to begin, a gun is, as Chief Inspector Colin Greenwood commented to a Parliamentary committee, a gun is a tool, as much as a hammer or a saw is a tool. Like a hammer, it has a definite purpose, and is usually purchased for that purpose.

ar15 A farmer may or rancher very well go to a gun dealers, purchase a Sport Utility Rifle to exterminate “varmints” preying on his livestock. A suburbanite may be a hunter, out after a hunting rifle, or a duck gun, while a city dweller may want a handgun for self defense.

Or, almost as commonly these days, the prospective buyer may be a gun collector, looking for that ultra-rare “last piece to fill out the collection.” Or, quite likely, a person searching for a gift for a spouse or child.

In any case, the search for a gun generally starts at a gun dealers, where he can look over the guns on hand for suitability to purpose and for fit Once the choice is made, the purchaser must fill out an ATF Form 4473, show a government issued photo ID, and pass an FBI NICS “instant background check.” When all the dots are dotted and the approvals are given, money is exchanged and the buyer is on his way.

The routine is precisely the same for any purchase from a gun dealer, either at the dealers “brick and mortar” place of business, or at a gun show. If you buy a gun from a dealer, you must do all of those things, whether you fill out the form leaning on the dealer’s counter or sitting at a card table at the dealers gun show display.

Sometimes, however, no suitable gun is available. Many of us will turn to the internet, and select a gun from an internet web page. The drill is essentially the same, starting with a trip to a dealers to make arrangements for the dealer to “handle the paperwork.”

Once you have a Federally licensed gun dealer who is willing, for a fee, to handle the transaction, the prospective gun owner searches out one of the “gun auction” websites. Choose a gun, buy it, transfer funds to seller, go to your local dealer and get him to FAX a copy of his dealers license to the seller, and the seller will then ship the gun to the receiving dealer.

From that point, the drill is exactly the same as an over the counter purchase. Fill out the 4473, prove who you are, undergo a criminal background check, pay the dealer completing the transaction and take your gun home.

And finally, there is that much misunderstood “individual purchase,” which supposed provides millions and billions of free guns to the criminal underworld.

An individual seeking to sell a gun generally is well acquainted with the buyer. They are likely to share some aspect of the shooting hobby, such as collecting antique cap and ball revolvers, see each other frequently, and often travel to collectors meet’s or gun shows together.

However, assuming someone who has no friends at all who wishes to sell a gun, the sale usually starts with a trip to an internet gun auction to see what that gun in that condition is selling for now.

Once the current value is determined, and a few bucks added, an advertisement is placed. When a buyer calls the number or responds to the blind box, an appointment to meed is made, the gun examined, perhaps a bit of haggling goes on, and perhaps a deal is made.

The seller gets retail price, or close to retail price, and the buyer often collects a gun that is not available from any other source.

Finally, there are the actual underworld sales, where stolen “street guns” change hands. I am told that the usual drill is ether a sale from “friends or relatives” who are, like the buyers, known criminals. The buyer hits up a street corner drug dealer, asks about a gun, and is given a price. If money changes hands, the buyer is told to look behind the Wag-a-Bag dumpster in two hours. Tow hours later, the buyer looks wherever the gun was to b hidden, retrieves his gun, and goes on his way.

Those are the ways guns are bought and sold in America. There is remarkably little trade between the legal and the criminal side of gun purchases, simply because a gun with a value of $600 or more sells on the street for less than $150.

Given the price differential, and the ease with which someone who has just walked out of prison can obtain a street gun, it is no wonder that recent surveys find that only a fraction of one percent of prisoners convicted of a gun facilitated crime have ever attempted to purchase a gun from a legitimate source.

So there should be only one more thing to mention. Gift and inheritances. Up until now, the ATF has effectively presumed that a parent would not buy a gun for a jailbird, or leave a gun to someone who would misuse it. That assumption has proven accurate, as the tiny percentage of heirs and recipients who criminally muses a gun bears witness.

Stranger

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