Florida: The Cost Of Gun Control

Continuing the second “Cost of Gun Control” series with Florida, the next State in alphabetical order, Delaware, we will again see the State fit the profile of a gun control venue as the key dates and rates are noted.

As usual with this series, all crime numbers mentioned here are from the FBI Uniform Crime Report,either from the printed or internet editions, available at many police headquarters, or from this convenient spreadsheet maintaned by the disaster center.

There are multiple objectives in this series, the primary one being to demonstrate that the universal increase in all forms of crime when restrictive gun laws cannot be a result of coincidence. Since each State has different income levels as well as different demographics, the probability that crime rates will rise and fall in lockstep immediately after imposing or repealing a restrictive gun law are extremely remote. When you have hundreds of such “coincidences” crediting other factors than gun control becomes statistically impossible. A subject we will return to after we look at Colorado’s gun laws and crime numbers.

Florida is one of America’s less affluent States, ranking 38th with a mean income of more than $$47,463.

Demographically, Florida has a higher than average percentage of our most violent demographic, a relatively high percentage of residents have dropped out of the job market, and and as you would expect from those numbers, crime rates are somewhat higher than the American mean.

Florida is one of those States with a relatively high number of gun laws such as the law agianst possession of a Winchester rifle, that were seldom, if ever, enforced. As such, they made very little contribution to Florida’s crime rate. More significant were laws against carry, and of coruse Marion Hammer’s 1987 License To Carry system, which drastically reduced all forms of violent crime.

In fact, as with every other jurisdiction, crime rates in cirmes per 100,000 persons population have closely tracked the key dates and percentage of increase that other States, and nations, have experienced simiar restrictions on guns.

The key dates and violent crime numbers

1960, the 27th year of a long term decline in crime following the repeal of Prohibition, when the violent Nutmeg State Police reported 11,376 violent crimes to the FBI.

1963,the year the entertainment industry began a nationwide gun ban campaign;when Florida Police reported 12,150 violent crimes to the FBI.

1964,the first full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign, when Florida Police reported 16,539 1 sch crimes t the FBI.

1968, the full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign, and the year the Federal Gun Control Act of 1968 was imposed and Florida’s Law Enforcement Agencies (LEAs) reported 27,913
violent crimes to the FBI.

1969, the first full year of Federal gun controls Florida EA’s reported 33,824 violent crimes to the FBI:

1973, the fifth full year of Federal gun controls, which saw Florida agencies report 46,419 violent crimes to the FBI.

19901 the peak year for violent crime in Florida, with Handgun Control Inc.’s “Assault weapons Ban Campaign at its most intense. That year, Florida’s LEA’s reported a staggering total of 164,975 violent crimes reported to them, and then reported to the FBI.

In that year, Florida gun buyers began to purchase defensive firearms such Sport Utility Rifles and handguns, a few violent criminals were shot, and violent crime began the long fall that has cut violent crime rates from 1,207.2 per 100,000 to 461.9 per 100,000 in 2015, a 60 percent decline in violent crime that a reasonable Concealed Carry Weapons system and relaxed gun laws are entirely responsible for.

At this point, let me point let me mention that Florida does not report the number of gun related murders,. However, the FBI does list murder rates, which were 10.6 per 100,000 in 1960, and a 5.1 per 100,000 population in 2015, a 54 percent decline in murder; thanks to concealed carry and relaxed gun laws:

With that, here is the chart documenting the increase in violent crime rates resulting from gun control legislation:

As you can see, Floridians are far less likely to become a victim of a criminal than they have been since the 1940’s.

However, while the murder rate is the smallest of the four categories of violent crime, it is the one gun ban activists use for shock effect. SO here is a chart of Florida’s homicide rate from 1960 to 2015,the latest year data is currently available:

As you can see in the chart and verify at the link in the first paragraphs, Concealed Carry and Open Carry have put a lid on Florida’s homicide rate.

While there are differences, most due to the strictness of the individual laws as well as the level of enforcement; as well as demographics and economics, those differences are generally far less than the difference between no gun control and gun control.

Why can we be sure Florida’s violent crime rates rise in lockstep with multi State gun control campaigns and federal gun laws and not something else? The investigators saying has it that “When everything else has been disproven, what remains must be true.” Literally everything, from electric lighting to leaded gasoline to color television to video games has been blamed for rising violent crime rates.

Violent television programming and the rise of drug and human trafficking to be minor causative factors in the prevalence of violent crime, but gun control is the primary triggering factor.

We have gotten to the point where the probability that gun control caused all the crime increases noted so far in this series that we have moved past most named numbers.

At present, the probability is approximately 1 in 12.8*10^691, or four orders of magnitude grater tan the estimated number of sub-atomic particles in this universe. Meaning it is conceivable, but you could count grains of sand for the 13.5 year estimated age of the universe with making more than a dent in the sand pile.

Obviously, Florida has paid a terrible price for its failed experiment in gun control, beginning with $2,200,000 for each excess homicide, the cost of medial treatment resulting from gun control at a mean cost of $36,000 for each extra person shot or cut, the cost of disability and continuing medical care, the cost of goods disappeared, damaged or stolen, as well as the cost of extra security, added law enforcement,prosecution,prisons,and probation and parole.

The estimated cost of Delaware’s gun control experiment is a staggering $1292,000,000,000 9two hundred ninety two billion, dollars,over 54 years, and climbing by the second. That is far too high a price for a nation to pay for a series of laws that only make matters worse.

It is time for Congress to do wht it is paid to do,and preempt all State and Federal gun laws that exceed current Federal gun restrictions, i institute a study of existing gun laws and forbid any laws modeled on failed gun laws; as well as impose a reasonable fine,at least $100,000 a day,on those who attempt to enforce preempted gun laws,or to craft new laws to evade Federal preemption.

Lives are too valuable to waste just because someone things getting on the public payroll paints a target on his back.


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